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Red69
129637.2
258330.3
850712.4
Blue70
97868.4
667232.3
41838.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75756065708085906970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
47Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points0
69Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.1
32.032.1
Auto5.2
Teleop24.9
End7.1
blue by 1.3
418
#9
38.50.4
23.323.7
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
Second
2583
#11
30.30.1
21.121.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End1.2
blue by 2.0
6672
#15
32.30.4
34.434.8
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
Third
8507
#32
12.40.1
13.013.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End4.6
red by 4.0
9786
#40
8.40.4
9.09.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned