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Red14
885820.1
568214.0
586615.8
Blue91
808832.0
296914.9
712120.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions587801001502001491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+77
Endgame+77
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +16
0Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
0Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +61
2Coral scored#14
6Coral points51
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
10Total teleop71
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#6
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points0
14Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#28
20.14.3
19.815.5
Auto2.1
Teleop15.7
End2.4
blue by 11.9
8088
#18
32.02.0
30.132.2
Auto3.8
Teleop27.1
End1.0
Second
5866
#21
15.84.3
17.413.1
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
blue by 4.8
7121
#12
20.62.0
21.023.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.2
Third
5682
#25
14.04.3
15.211.0
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 0.9
2969
#14
14.92.0
15.717.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed