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Red96
14858.0
215810.9
271433.5
Blue25
1031211.0
876912.4
268728.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105650501502009625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+61Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
11Coral scored#2
39Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
59Total teleop12
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#0
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
96Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
58.00.8
40.841.5
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
red by 30.0
2687
#24
28.03.9
27.823.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.9
End6.2
Second
2714
#10
33.50.8
29.730.5
Auto6.0
Teleop22.8
End4.7
red by 21.1
8769
#41
12.43.9
15.411.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
2158
#35
10.90.8
18.619.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 0.1
11.03.9
17.013.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed