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Red43
71258.3
461015.5
246825.2
Blue71
258330.3
258240.5
296914.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions668302040601001201404371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+20
Endgame+32
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
4Coral points16
10Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
4Coral scored#8
15Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
23Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
6Foul points2
43Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#23
25.23.4
35.331.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
blue by 15.3
40.51.2
35.334.1
Auto5.4
Teleop28.2
End6.9
Second
4610
#30
15.53.4
13.710.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
blue by 14.8
2583
#11
30.31.2
20.219.0
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End1.2
Third
7125
#36
8.33.4
12.49.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 6.6
2969
#14
14.91.2
19.117.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned