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Red25
568214.0
521211.1
Blue52
586615.8
331028.6
852813.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276602040801001201402552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
3Coral scored#9
10Coral points32
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
14Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
25Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5682
#25
14.01.3
8.06.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 14.7
3310
#27
28.61.2
29.328.0
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
Second
5212
#33
11.11.3
12.210.9
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End-0.2
blue by 4.7
5866
#21
15.81.2
10.99.6
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Third
9.31.3
8.77.4
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 4.0
8528
#20
13.31.2
14.112.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed