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Red51
905417.0
215810.9
268728.0
Blue46
41838.5
873216.7
957714.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54582040805146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+15
Endgame+3
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +15
5Coral scored#7
17Coral points24
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
0Processor points0
4Net points12
4Algae points12
21Total teleop36
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
8Foul points0
51Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#24
28.00.5
21.921.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.9
End6.2
blue by 10.5
418
#9
38.50.7
29.128.3
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
Second
9054
#26
17.00.5
14.313.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End2.1
red by 0.3
8732
#38
16.70.7
13.512.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
2158
#35
10.90.5
11.511.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 3.8
9577
#19
14.60.7
7.16.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed