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Red32
885820.1
851517.7
97868.4
Blue64
652612.5
876912.4
94447.1
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51350204060801003264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+32
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
18Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
4Foul points30
32Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8858
#28
20.12.5
14.111.5
Auto2.1
Teleop15.7
End2.4
red by 7.7
6526
#22
12.50.4
14.013.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End1.9
Second
8515
#17
17.72.5
17.414.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 5.3
8769
#41
12.40.4
8.88.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
9786
#40
8.42.5
10.37.8
Auto1.4
Teleop5.9
End1.1
red by 1.3
9444
#37
7.10.4
7.26.8
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed