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Red113
258240.5
271433.5
295021.2
Blue43
667232.3
1031211.0
56136.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9854020408012014016011343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+68Teleop
+76Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +64
18Coral scored#3
65Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
83Total teleop19
Reef
5L4#1
8L3#2
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#7
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points6
113Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.2
34.136.3
Auto5.4
Teleop28.2
End6.9
red by 8.2
6672
#15
32.32.8
27.925.1
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
Second
2714
#10
33.52.2
33.135.3
Auto6.0
Teleop22.8
End4.7
red by 22.6
11.02.8
16.113.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Third
2950
#13
21.22.2
14.316.5
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6
red by 14.7
5613
#39
6.52.8
7.74.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed