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Red119
300560.0
808832.0
Blue38
71258.3
296914.9
850712.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9740020608012014016011938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+59Teleop
+53Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +55
12Coral scored#3
43Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
71Total teleop16
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
20Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +81
28Foul points0
119Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.3
38.338.6
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
red by 45.2
2969
#14
14.90.9
17.916.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Second
8088
#18
32.00.3
34.234.5
Auto3.8
Teleop27.1
End1.0
red by 19.6
8507
#32
12.40.9
13.712.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End4.6
Third
9.30.3
7.47.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
red by 1.0
7125
#36
8.30.9
9.08.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed