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Red30
957714.6
712120.6
905417.0
Blue76
521211.1
14858.0
331028.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4710102060801201401603076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+34
Endgame+40
Fouls+46
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +41
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
14Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points6
30Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7121
#12
20.62.5
26.524.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.2
blue by 37.4
148
#1
58.02.1
45.243.1
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
Second
9054
#26
17.02.5
13.711.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End2.1
blue by 11.6
3310
#27
28.62.1
28.025.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
Third
9577
#19
14.62.5
6.43.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
red by 3.5
5212
#33
11.12.1
10.98.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed