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Red123
258330.3
637739.0
852813.3
Blue90
129637.2
246825.2
586615.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659220408010012014012390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
Endgame+5
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
6Processor points6
20Net points16
26Algae points22
62Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#2
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
38Foul points0
123Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.02.7
28.731.4
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End2.2
red by 1.8
37.21.6
34.436.0
Auto5.2
Teleop24.9
End7.1
Second
2583
#11
30.32.7
19.021.7
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End1.2
red by 5.1
2468
#23
25.21.6
31.933.5
Auto4.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
Third
8528
#20
13.32.7
12.815.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
blue by 2.5
5866
#21
15.81.6
9.611.2
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned