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Red14
840810.6
876912.4
296914.9
Blue41
94447.1
851517.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343610203040501441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+27
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points2
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
3Total teleop2
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
2Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points24
14Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2969
#14
14.91.9
16.915.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
blue by 2.8
8515
#17
17.71.4
14.913.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Second
8769
#41
12.41.9
8.46.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 3.1
9.31.4
7.76.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
Third
8408
#29
10.61.9
5.33.5
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.1
red by 3.5
9444
#37
7.11.4
6.85.4
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsEarned