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Red25
71258.3
215810.9
873216.7
Blue114
667232.3
957714.6
14858.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2985020406010012014025114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+57
Endgame+77
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +50
2Coral scored#13
8Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
12Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
0L2#5
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points12
25Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8732
#38
16.71.0
12.711.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
blue by 41.3
148
#1
58.03.0
43.146.1
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
Second
2158
#35
10.91.0
11.010.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 21.5
6672
#15
32.33.0
25.128.1
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
Third
7125
#36
8.31.0
8.07.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 6.4
9577
#19
14.63.0
3.96.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned