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Red42
568214.0
258330.3
652612.5
Blue39
876912.4
56136.5
268933.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions627502003004005006007008004239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+5Teleop
Endgame+3
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#4
23Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
27Total teleop16
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
6Foul points0
42Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#11
30.32.2
23.221.1
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End1.2
blue by 3.0
33.32.8
26.323.4
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.2
Second
5682
#25
14.02.2
17.415.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
red by 1.6
8769
#41
12.42.8
18.215.4
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
6526
#22
12.52.2
14.912.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End1.9
red by 6.0
5613
#39
6.52.8
20.117.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned