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Red46
97868.4
712120.6
331028.6
Blue66
288139.9
852813.3
296914.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887902040601001201401604666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#8
21Coral points30
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
31Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
4Foul points8
46Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#27
28.63.9
39.035.1
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
blue by 11.2
39.91.4
31.430.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
7121
#12
20.63.9
24.821.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.2
red by 5.7
2969
#14
14.91.4
17.115.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Third
9786
#40
8.43.9
12.99.0
Auto1.4
Teleop5.9
End1.1
blue by 4.9
8528
#20
13.31.4
21.920.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed