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Red68
667232.3
246825.2
840810.6
Blue83
41838.5
521211.1
300560.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081040501502002503006883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+11
Endgame+13
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points17
10Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
48Total teleop46
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
6Foul points8
68Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#15
32.33.9
38.334.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
blue by 27.7
60.02.2
46.344.2
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
Second
2468
#23
25.23.9
40.036.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
blue by 13.3
418
#9
38.52.2
25.523.3
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
Third
8408
#29
10.63.9
16.212.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.1
blue by 0.5
5212
#33
11.12.2
19.717.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed