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Red93
129637.2
268933.3
258240.5
Blue91
300560.0
94447.1
215810.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124642040801001401609391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
60Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
93Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.9
39.038.1
Auto5.4
Teleop28.2
End6.9
blue by 19.5
60.03.2
45.248.4
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
Second
37.20.9
32.331.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.9
End7.1
red by 26.4
2158
#35
10.93.2
9.812.9
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Third
33.30.9
30.729.8
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.2
red by 26.2
9444
#37
7.13.2
5.58.7
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsMissed