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Red101
288139.9
885820.1
1031211.0
Blue40
852813.3
71258.3
851517.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76380206010012014010140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
12Coral scored#5
43Coral points17
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
69Total teleop27
Reef
4L4#3
5L3#1
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
101Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.92.6
32.935.5
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
red by 22.2
8515
#17
17.70.9
13.212.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Second
8858
#28
20.12.6
18.120.7
Auto2.1
Teleop15.7
End2.4
red by 6.9
8528
#20
13.30.9
16.215.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Third
11.02.6
10.012.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
red by 2.7
7125
#36
8.30.9
6.45.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed