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Red97
874930.0
296914.9
957714.6
Blue38
97868.4
568214.0
876912.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583102040801001209738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+25Teleop
+33Endgame
+59Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
48Total teleop23
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
26Foul points0
97Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.01.4
26.027.4
Auto3.4
Teleop19.9
End6.7
red by 16.0
5682
#25
14.00.9
10.311.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Second
2969
#14
14.91.4
14.716.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 2.5
8769
#41
12.40.9
8.79.6
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Third
9577
#19
14.61.4
7.58.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
red by 6.2
9786
#40
8.40.9
10.411.3
Auto1.4
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed