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Red78
271433.5
586615.8
667232.3
Blue41
652612.5
850712.4
246825.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975902040801201401607841

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+31Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
9Coral scored#4
31Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
6Processor points6
16Net points0
22Algae points6
53Total teleop22
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#6
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
78Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2714
#10
33.51.5
39.938.4
Auto6.0
Teleop22.8
End4.7
red by 8.4
2468
#23
25.22.4
31.128.6
Auto4.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
Second
6672
#15
32.31.5
28.927.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
red by 19.9
6526
#22
12.52.4
12.09.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End1.9
Third
5866
#21
15.81.5
12.811.3
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 3.4
8507
#32
12.42.4
9.87.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed