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Red90
271433.5
94447.1
288139.9
Blue135
586615.8
300560.0
957714.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10078406012014090135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+43
Endgame+57
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
61Total teleop90
Reef
3L4#9
5L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
18Foul points6
90Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.92.2
35.533.4
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
blue by 20.2
60.04.1
48.452.4
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
Second
2714
#10
33.52.2
38.436.2
Auto6.0
Teleop22.8
End4.7
red by 17.7
5866
#21
15.84.1
11.315.4
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Third
9444
#37
7.12.2
8.76.5
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.7
blue by 7.5
9577
#19
14.64.1
8.913.0
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned