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Red67
295021.2
246825.2
97868.4
Blue119
14858.0
461015.5
568214.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708420406010012067119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+52
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +40
8Coral scored#18
28Coral points66
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
46Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#7
1L3#6
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
8Foul points10
67Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#23
25.21.8
28.626.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
blue by 32.9
148
#1
58.01.9
48.550.4
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
Second
2950
#13
21.21.8
22.720.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6
red by 5.7
4610
#30
15.51.9
12.614.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Third
9786
#40
8.41.8
11.39.5
Auto1.4
Teleop5.9
End1.1
blue by 5.6
5682
#25
14.01.9
11.213.1
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned