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Red54
850712.4
851517.7
667232.3
Blue45
852813.3
712120.6
55039.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595202040801005445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+15Teleop
+21Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +29
6Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
29Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#5
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
6Foul points18
54Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#15
32.30.1
27.427.5
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
red by 11.7
7121
#12
20.61.7
20.819.0
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.2
Second
8515
#17
17.70.1
12.212.3
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 4.4
8528
#20
13.31.7
15.313.6
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Third
8507
#32
12.40.1
7.47.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End4.6
red by 3.1
5503
#16
9.21.7
9.07.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed