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Red138
637739.0
873216.7
300560.0
Blue56
296914.9
268728.0
885820.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116692040608010014016018013856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+80Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave3
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
14Coral scored#6
51Coral points23
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
85Total teleop33
Reef
6L4#3
7L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
0Foul points0
138Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.02.8
52.455.3
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
red by 32.0
2687
#24
28.01.4
27.526.2
Auto5.9
Teleop15.9
End6.2
Second
39.03.1
31.734.7
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End2.2
red by 18.9
8858
#28
20.11.4
19.418.0
Auto2.1
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Third
8732
#38
16.73.1
13.516.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
red by 1.9
2969
#14
14.91.5
16.214.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned