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Red65
268933.3
331028.6
461015.5
Blue98
957714.6
129637.2
271433.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819740601201401606598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+49
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +38
6Coral scored#13
22Coral points48
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
0Processor points12
12Net points12
12Algae points24
34Total teleop72
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
65Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.32.0
31.429.4
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.2
blue by 3.9
37.20.5
34.735.1
Auto5.2
Teleop24.9
End7.1
Second
3310
#27
28.62.0
27.925.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
blue by 4.9
2714
#10
33.50.5
36.236.7
Auto6.0
Teleop22.8
End4.7
Third
4610
#30
15.52.0
14.512.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 0.9
9577
#19
14.60.5
13.013.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsMissed