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Red24
56136.5
586615.8
94447.1
Blue106
905417.0
71258.3
14858.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2984020406010012024106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+54
Endgame+70
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +24
0Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points40
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
18Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points12
24Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5866
#21
15.81.1
15.414.2
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
blue by 42.2
148
#1
58.01.8
50.452.1
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
Second
9444
#37
7.11.1
6.55.4
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.7
blue by 9.9
9054
#26
17.01.8
13.615.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Third
5613
#39
6.51.1
5.94.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 1.8
7125
#36
8.31.8
4.26.0
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
12%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned