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Red82
296914.9
652612.5
41838.5
Blue37
873216.7
840810.6
295021.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755620401001208237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
8Coral scored#2
30Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
44Total teleop6
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#0
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
18Foul points18
82Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#9
38.50.1
33.633.8
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
red by 17.3
2950
#13
21.22.9
20.918.1
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6
Second
2969
#14
14.90.1
14.714.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
blue by 1.9
8732
#38
16.72.9
16.613.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
6526
#22
12.50.1
11.411.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End1.9
red by 1.9
8408
#29
10.62.9
10.67.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed