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Red44
1031211.0
874930.0
852813.3
Blue36
55039.2
876912.4
850712.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions692504060801001204436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+2Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
4Coral scored#3
13Coral points11
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
19Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#5
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
44Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.9
27.126.2
Auto3.4
Teleop19.9
End6.7
red by 17.6
8769
#41
12.41.0
10.511.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Second
8528
#20
13.30.9
13.612.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 0.9
8507
#32
12.41.0
7.58.4
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End4.6
Third
11.00.9
13.312.5
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
red by 1.8
5503
#16
9.21.0
7.38.2
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed