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Red114
851517.7
300560.0
461015.5
Blue65
667232.3
905417.0
521211.1
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98512040608012014016011465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +34
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
71Total teleop37
Reef
8L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points8
114Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.02.0
55.357.3
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
red by 27.7
6672
#15
32.30.4
27.527.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
Second
8515
#17
17.72.2
12.314.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 0.7
9054
#26
17.00.4
15.415.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End2.1
Third
4610
#30
15.52.0
12.514.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 4.4
5212
#33
11.10.4
6.87.2
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed