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Red71
957714.6
258330.3
Blue94
652612.5
129637.2
885820.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508302040601001207194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#14
37Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
47Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points6
71Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#11
30.31.4
26.327.7
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End1.2
blue by 6.9
37.21.2
35.136.3
Auto5.2
Teleop24.9
End7.1
Second
9577
#19
14.61.4
13.514.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 5.5
8858
#28
20.11.2
18.019.2
Auto2.1
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Third
9.31.4
5.26.6
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 3.2
6526
#22
12.51.2
11.512.7
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsEarned