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Red89
215810.9
295021.2
637739.0
Blue80
258240.5
852813.3
97868.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816520401001201408980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +12
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points26
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
64Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
12Foul points8
89Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.00.3
36.636.4
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End2.2
blue by 1.5
40.50.0
37.037.0
Auto5.4
Teleop28.2
End6.9
Second
2950
#13
21.20.3
18.117.8
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6
red by 7.9
8528
#20
13.30.0
12.712.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
Third
2158
#35
10.90.3
12.011.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.7
red by 2.5
9786
#40
8.40.0
7.77.7
Auto1.4
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned