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Red62
568214.0
55039.2
851517.7
Blue122
41838.5
14858.0
586615.8
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3912605010015020062122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +55
4Coral scored#17
16Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
30Total teleop85
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
2Foul points0
62Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8515
#17
17.70.9
14.615.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 40.4
148
#1
58.00.9
52.153.0
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
Second
5682
#25
14.00.9
15.015.9
Auto2.5
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 24.5
418
#9
38.50.9
33.834.6
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
Third
5503
#16
9.20.9
8.29.1
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End4.4
blue by 6.6
5866
#21
15.80.9
14.215.1
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned