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Red57
876912.4
331028.6
808832.0
Blue78
288139.9
850712.4
873216.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8258020401001205778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#7
30Coral points24
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
44Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +18
2Cage & park20
2Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points2
57Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8088
#18
32.01.4
34.332.9
Auto3.8
Teleop27.1
End1.0
blue by 7.9
39.91.6
34.436.0
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
3310
#27
28.61.4
25.924.5
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
red by 11.9
8732
#38
16.71.6
13.715.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
8769
#41
12.41.4
11.510.1
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
Level
8507
#32
12.41.6
8.410.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned