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Red104
296914.9
667232.3
268933.3
Blue52
56136.5
874930.0
840810.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85360206010012010452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
13Coral scored#6
47Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
57Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
18Foul points0
104Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.1
29.430.5
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.2
red by 3.4
30.01.1
26.227.3
Auto3.4
Teleop19.9
End6.7
Second
6672
#15
32.31.1
27.929.0
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
red by 21.7
8408
#29
10.61.1
7.78.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Third
2969
#14
14.91.1
14.816.0
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
red by 8.4
5613
#39
6.51.1
4.85.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned