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Red40
1031211.0
957714.6
652612.5
Blue108
521211.1
246825.2
637739.0
5%Model gave it95%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42840206010012040108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+72
Endgame+68
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +69
4Coral scored#17
15Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#7
6Processor points6
4Net points28
10Algae points34
25Total teleop94
Reef
2L4#9
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#26
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points0
40Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9577
#19
14.60.2
14.914.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
blue by 24.4
39.02.9
36.439.3
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End2.2
Second
6526
#22
12.50.2
12.712.5
Auto2.4
Teleop8.2
End1.9
blue by 12.7
2468
#23
25.22.9
22.525.4
Auto4.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
Third
11.00.2
12.512.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 0.2
5212
#33
11.12.9
7.210.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.2
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed