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Red96
71258.3
41838.5
Blue70
461015.5
586615.8
97868.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624702040801009670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+34Teleop
+34Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +24
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
76Total teleop52
Reef
10L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points8
96Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#9
38.52.7
34.637.3
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
red by 22.7
5866
#21
15.80.7
15.115.8
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
Second
9.32.7
6.69.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.6
End1.4
blue by 6.3
4610
#30
15.50.7
14.515.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Third
7125
#36
8.32.7
5.68.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End0.7
blue by 0.1
9786
#40
8.40.7
7.78.4
Auto1.4
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed