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Red85
94447.1
331028.6
874930.0
Blue91
851517.7
268728.0
258330.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607720401001208591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +16
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
6Total auto22
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#14
41Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
65Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
85Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.02.1
27.329.4
Auto3.4
Teleop19.9
End6.7
blue by 0.3
2583
#11
30.31.6
27.729.4
Auto7.0
Teleop22.2
End1.2
Second
3310
#27
28.62.1
24.526.6
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
red by 0.6
2687
#24
28.01.6
25.827.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.9
End6.2
Third
9444
#37
7.12.1
5.07.1
Auto1.9
Teleop5.8
End-0.7
blue by 10.6
8515
#17
17.71.6
15.417.1
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsMissed