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Red83
852813.3
56136.5
129637.2
Blue27
873216.7
1031211.0
296914.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614502040801008327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+36Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
35Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
20Foul points0
83Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.6
36.336.9
Auto5.2
Teleop24.9
End7.1
red by 20.5
8732
#38
16.71.2
15.314.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Second
8528
#20
13.30.6
12.713.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.4
End3.2
blue by 1.6
2969
#14
14.91.2
16.014.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
Third
5613
#39
6.50.6
5.96.5
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End1.4
blue by 4.5
11.01.2
12.211.0
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed