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Red156
14858.0
873216.7
300560.0
Blue86
667232.3
215810.9
268933.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155755010020025015686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+58Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +54
23Coral scored#10
81Coral points35
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
101Total teleop47
Reef
12L4#4
5L3#4
7L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +70
6Foul points6
156Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.4
59.860.2
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
red by 26.7
33.30.1
32.832.9
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.2
Second
148
#1
58.00.4
57.858.2
Auto11.4
Teleop38.5
End8.2
red by 25.7
6672
#15
32.30.1
31.831.9
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
Third
8732
#38
16.70.4
16.516.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
red by 5.9
2158
#35
10.90.1
10.410.5
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.7