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Red120
296914.9
258240.5
41838.5
Blue126
288139.9
331028.6
295021.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11110702004006008001,0001,2001,400120126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+2Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
19Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
18Coral scored#16
63Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
95Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#8
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
120Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.1
40.440.5
Auto5.4
Teleop28.2
End6.9
red by 0.6
39.90.2
39.940.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
418
#9
38.50.1
38.438.5
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
red by 9.9
3310
#27
28.60.2
28.728.9
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
Third
2969
#14
14.90.1
14.814.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.2
End2.2
blue by 6.3
2950
#13
21.20.2
21.221.4
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6