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Red102
876912.4
258240.5
41838.5
Blue118
667232.3
215810.9
268933.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101814060120140160102118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+16
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
10Coral scored#13
35Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
69Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#7
4L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points24
102Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.50.3
39.740.0
Auto5.4
Teleop28.2
End6.9
red by 7.2
33.30.5
32.432.8
Auto5.9
Teleop20.3
End7.2
Second
418
#9
38.50.3
37.738.0
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
red by 6.2
6672
#15
32.30.5
31.431.8
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
Third
8769
#41
12.40.3
11.712.0
Auto2.8
Teleop8.5
End1.1
red by 1.5
2158
#35
10.90.5
9.910.4
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.7