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Red145
288139.9
331028.6
295021.2
Blue83
874930.0
268728.0
851517.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10987608010012014016018014583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+48Teleop
+36Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
17Coral scored#11
60Coral points38
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
86Total teleop48
Reef
6L4#5
8L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +62
26Foul points0
145Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.3
39.639.9
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
red by 9.9
30.00.2
30.230.0
Auto3.4
Teleop19.9
End6.7
Second
3310
#27
28.60.3
28.428.7
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
red by 0.6
2687
#24
28.00.2
28.228.0
Auto5.9
Teleop15.9
End6.2
Third
2950
#13
21.20.3
21.021.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.7
End2.6
red by 3.5
8515
#17
17.70.2
17.917.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1