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Red148
49856.5
800520.1
212255.8
Blue163
98765.5
316619.0
742660.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132153100200148163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points41
44Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +14
18Coral scored#14
64Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
6Processor points12
8Net points28
14Algae points40
78Total teleop92
Reef
11L4#10
6L3#6
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
148Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
56.50.4
55.255.7
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
blue by 9.0
987
#1
65.50.5
64.765.2
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
Second
55.80.4
54.655.0
Auto15.0
Teleop30.4
End10.3
blue by 4.7
60.50.5
59.760.2
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
Third
8005
#20
20.10.5
18.819.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 1.2
3166
#17
19.00.5
18.218.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1