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Red166
49856.5
800520.1
212255.8
Blue177
98765.5
316619.0
742660.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133155100200166177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points35
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +16
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points59
3Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
18Processor points12
28Net points16
46Algae points28
103Total teleop87
Reef
10L4#11
3L3#7
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points20
166Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
56.50.8
55.756.5
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
blue by 9.0
987
#1
65.50.3
65.265.5
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
Second
55.80.8
55.055.8
Auto15.0
Teleop30.4
End10.3
blue by 4.7
60.50.3
60.260.5
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
Third
8005
#20
20.10.9
19.320.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
red by 1.2
3166
#17
19.00.3
18.719.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1