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Red12
913811.0
593311.0
817412.0
Blue43
156920.6
316619.0
548022.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6872204060801001243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
1Coral scored#6
2Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
2Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
12Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8174
#25DQ
12.05.2
17.111.9
Auto1.5
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 10.8
5480
#13
22.81.5
17.716.2
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End2.0
Second
9138
#30
11.05.2
19.113.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 9.6
1569
#23
20.62.4
23.821.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.5
End2.4
Third
5933
#37
11.05.2
22.617.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
blue by 8.0
3166
#17
19.02.4
20.418.0
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed