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Red99
49856.5
324541.8
328811.6
Blue51
641110.7
800520.1
189120.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103690204060801201401609951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+44Teleop
+54Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
13Coral scored#7
45Coral points25
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
69Total teleop35
Reef
7L4#2
2L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points6
99Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
56.50.7
44.044.7
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
red by 36.0
1891
#31
20.42.3
25.022.7
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
Second
41.81.0
26.527.4
Auto11.1
Teleop28.4
End2.3
red by 21.6
8005
#20
20.12.3
23.020.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
Third
3288
#27
11.61.0
19.720.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End2.8
red by 0.9
6411
#33
10.72.3
17.315.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed