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Red58
903718.6
438837.2
429324.2
Blue135
321635.9
742660.5
494432.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8010505015020058135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+67
Endgame+77
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +60
8Coral scored#22
28Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
38Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#8
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
0Foul points0
58Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4388
#12
37.23.1
25.322.3
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End2.3
blue by 23.3
60.52.6
43.846.4
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
Second
4293
#10
24.23.1
25.522.4
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0
blue by 11.7
35.93.2
22.625.8
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
Third
9037
#28
18.63.1
22.819.7
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End0.4
blue by 14.2
32.83.2
25.228.5
Auto5.5
Teleop25.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned