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Red40
259417.8
494432.8
789516.7
Blue81
913811.0
45858.3
300636.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66572040801001204081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+27
Endgame+35
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +13
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
28Total teleop41
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points6
40Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.83.1
28.125.0
Auto5.5
Teleop25.2
End2.0
blue by 3.2
36.01.6
25.727.3
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
Second
2594
#38Sur
17.83.1
12.18.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End1.7
red by 6.9
9138
#30
11.01.6
13.515.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Third
7895
#34
16.73.1
16.113.0
Auto4.4
Teleop10.3
End1.9
red by 8.4
4585
#39
8.31.6
11.112.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned