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Red116
49856.5
585138.3
429324.2
Blue53
79069.0
417524.3
438837.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11259020408010012014016011653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+49Teleop
+63Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
84Total teleop42
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#2
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
0Foul points0
116Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#2
56.51.5
45.446.9
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
red by 19.3
4388
#12
37.20.5
21.420.9
Auto9.2
Teleop25.7
End2.3
Second
5851
#15
38.32.5
25.628.2
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End1.8
red by 14.0
4175
#18
24.30.5
21.220.7
Auto2.8
Teleop19.0
End2.4
Third
4293
#10
24.22.5
22.124.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0
red by 15.2
7906
#29
9.00.5
14.814.3
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed