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Red86
459810.5
98765.5
320019.3
Blue96
743616.8
210238.6
321635.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958040601001201408696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#12
27Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
47Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
86Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
65.50.4
46.246.6
Auto19.7
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 26.9
38.61.6
25.226.8
Auto7.3
Teleop27.6
End3.7
Second
3200
#35
19.30.4
16.517.0
Auto2.4
Teleop16.4
End0.5
blue by 16.6
35.92.7
26.028.7
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
Third
4598
#36
10.50.4
19.219.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 6.2
7436
#16
16.82.7
20.523.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned